Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.057200 0.066794 0.077477 0.090256 0.105123 0.121878 0.142197
2025-10-12 0.042732 0.055350 0.070887 0.091419 0.117843 0.150718 0.194761
2025-10-19 0.034001 0.047680 0.065869 0.091810 0.127866 0.176237 0.246146
2025-10-26 0.028521 0.042693 0.062764 0.093240 0.138356 0.202736 0.301743
2025-11-02 0.024913 0.039454 0.061202 0.096054 0.150532 0.232514 0.365512
2025-11-09 0.020776 0.034609 0.056332 0.092869 0.152826 0.247444 0.408449
2025-11-16 0.018094 0.031560 0.053665 0.092518 0.159158 0.268957 0.464072
2025-11-23 0.015819 0.028793 0.050984 0.091608 0.164192 0.288645 0.518837
2025-11-30 0.014358 0.027192 0.049999 0.093364 0.173849 0.317057 0.591986
2025-12-07 0.012726 0.025025 0.047684 0.092343 0.178261 0.336579 0.651393
2025-12-14 0.011145 0.022714 0.044774 0.089761 0.179318 0.349916 0.700669
2025-12-21 0.009792 0.020649 0.042044 0.087116 0.179813 0.362077 0.748927
2025-12-28 0.009098 0.019846 0.041725 0.089325 0.190424 0.395525 0.844747
2026-01-04 0.008332 0.018784 0.040744 0.090045 0.198094 0.424074 0.934411
2026-01-11 0.007619 0.017734 0.039644 0.090346 0.204880 0.451564 1.025334
2026-01-18 0.007076 0.016982 0.039082 0.091736 0.214195 0.485500 1.134694
2026-01-25 0.006688 0.016534 0.039131 0.094502 0.226942 0.528447 1.269869
2026-02-01 0.005942 0.015122 0.036789 0.091367 0.225558 0.539314 1.331826
2026-02-08 0.005456 0.014280 0.035675 0.091022 0.230767 0.566020 1.434983
2026-02-15 0.004989 0.013422 0.034408 0.090126 0.234491 0.589602 1.533445
2026-02-22 0.004710 0.013009 0.034191 0.091854 0.245030 0.631009 1.682027
2026-03-01 0.004320 0.012246 0.032985 0.090849 0.248372 0.654822 1.788223
2026-03-08 0.003899 0.011339 0.031288 0.088309 0.247315 0.667240 1.865867